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2011 Transitions Championship Golf – Best Bets

Thu, Mar 17, 11:18am by Kevin Pitstock

Top European

1u ew Justin Rose @ 9.0 (General)
0.5u ew Matteo Manassero @ 15.0 (Bet365)

The very best way of getting with a couple of those selections is to back JUSTIN ROSE and MATTEO MANASSERO in the ‘Top European‘ market. There are 13 Europeans in the field, including four rank outsiders who I’m happy to overlook altogether. The other nine also include Peter Hanson, who was poor at Doral and has no Florida credentials, and Sergio Garcia, whose best from two previous visits was just 41st. To be fair Garcia did show hints of his best during the Gulf Swing, but he remains a player with plenty of question marks against him.

If we can indeed write off those six, there must be some each-way value amongst the other seven. Especially when Martin Kaymer is a prohibitively short priced favourite, therefore pushing everyone else’s odds out. Kaymer was really disappointing over the weekend, so is hardly a certain contender on his Copperhead debut. It would be possible to engineer some sort of case for any of the remaining six candidates – apart from our pair, that’s Paul Casey, Padraig Harrington, Martin Laird and yesterday’s 100/1 pick Carl Pettersson. However as explained yesterday, Rose and Manassero are selected as the best for this course.

72-hole match bets

2.5u Stephen Ames (vs Sabbatini)

Comfortably the best match bet of the week is STEPHEN AMES, who was third in Sunday’s Puerto Rico Open, to beat Rory Sabbatini, who won the previous week’s event. Their respective course records are leagues apart. Ames has never missed a cut in seven visits to Copperhead, including a couple of top-tens and the last two top-20s. On the other hand, Sabbatini has never made the top-60 in six tries.

2u Paul Casey (vs Ogilvy)

Trying to predict Geoff Ogilvy’s recent performances has been a nightmare. When he’s been faced with courses where he’s always struggled, Geoff played better than usual, albeit off the pace. But when presented with somewhere like Doral, where he’s won before and is ideally suited, Ogilvy’s golf was poor.

Clearly he is struggling for consistency, which certainly cannot be said about PAUL CASEY, who must rate a very strong favourite for this match-up. Apart from a missed cut at the Qatar Masters, where he always seems to struggle for some reason, Paul hasn’t missed a top-25 since last July.

Betting markets for the 2011 Transitions Championship are now available at Sportsbet.com.au and Sportingbet.com.au. Alternatively – many of the best bets mentioned here by Champion Picks can be bet on at the Bet365 bookmaker.

Today’s golf betting tips article has been provided to us by our friends at Champion Picks. Make an account at ChampionPicks.com.au and receive a 20% discount by entering the promotion code AG20.


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