Thu, Mar 3, 11:47am by Kevin Pitstock
The 2011 Australian Guineas finals fields and barriers have been publicised and the fixed odds markets in the 1600m are now out at the best online Australian bookmakers. This field is what I consider to be of a solid standard with many chances in the race.
Playing God has come over from Western Australia and is the early fixed odds favourite. Many other quality horses are going around including Bullbars, Under the Eiffel, Enjin Number Nine, We Can Say it Now and Southern Speed.
Let’s take a look at the Sportsbet Australia latest fixed odds on the 2011 Australian Guineas before moving into an analysis of the main hopes in the race.
Australian Guineas 2011 Fixed Odds
1. Anacheeva (16) – $13.00
2. Playing God (3) – $5.00
3. Startsmeup (17) – $41.00
4. Mr Chard (13) – $26.00
5. Run For Levi (1) – $31.00
6. Hallowlea (4) – $31.00
7. Bullbars (11) – $8.50
8. Dusty Star (2) – $31.00
9. Spirited Eagle (14) – $19.00
10. Smokin’ Joey (6) – $51.00
11. Under The Eiffel (10) – $9.00
12. Eclair Surprise (15) – $15.00
13. Enjin Number Nine (7) – $9.00
14. Shamrocker (9) – $31.00
15. We Can Say It Now (12) – $6.00
16. Southern Speed (20) – $9.00
17. Goldstone (18) – $101.00
18. Liveandletdie (19) – $101.00
19. Roadtrain (8) – $61.00
20. Absolutelyawesome (5) – $51.00
As you can see some of the main chances in the race have drawn in the car park. Southern Speed who I have a huge amount of time for has drawn barrier 20, a position that is more likely than not to make it difficult to win this race. We Can Say It Now who was the early favourite has drawn in 12 which is a tricky barrier to be jumping from as well.
2011 Australian Guineas Best Bet
Out of the main chances in the race Playing God has definitely drawn the best and is my best bet of the race. The son of Blackfriars has won five of his last six and makes the trip East in his bid for Glory in a listed race. Horses traveling over from the West have done well in the past and I expect Playing God to have every chance in this race, especially after drawing barrier 3.
Out of the other main chances in the race I’m giving Under The Eiffel a fair amount of respect. The son of Mossman lost to Dusty Star in his last race who will also be competing in the Australian Guineas of 2011. Despite that, I’m sticking with him after his impressive performances before that. In his two previous races he beat the likes of Speediness and Lonhreign and Broadcast. Under The Eiffel jumps from barrier 10 and if he can get a smooth run I can see him featuring in the finish. He also has Mark Zahra aboard, a jockey that I’m a keen admirer of.
Bullbars won last start in a Group 3 race and the Peter Snowden trained son of Elusive Quality (same sire as Sepoy) has drawn barrier 11. I’m not much of a fan of Kerrin McEvoy but if the interview with Peter Snowden earlier in the week is anything to go by, then Bullbars will be peaking for this race. Obviously most trainers are going to talk up their chances, but on his last run you have to give him some sort of a chance. I personally won’t be betting on him and think he’s punching above his weight here.
Southern Speed is a Filly that I would have loved to have drawn a good barrier in this race. Unfortunately the unbeaten daughter of Southern Image is out in the car park with barrier 20. In her last start she beat Do Ra Mi who is a highly fancied horse. The Group 3 Vanity Stakes was over 1400m and going on that form you have to include her in your exotics. If she had drawn any barrier halfway decent she would be my best bet of the race. As it stands, I still give her some hope at $9.00 and if she can settle in a nice position then she’ll have every chance of winning.
To recap, my best bet is Playing God at $5.00 with my next best bet being Southern Speed at $9.00 fixed odds at Sportsbet.
These odds were correct at the time of writing. Check the latest fixed odds at Sportsbet.com.au.
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