Tue, Sep 9, 8:14am by Daryl Curnow
Some smaller fields to start the day but they get bigger as the day progresses with good betting oppourtunities. The first race kicks off with a Rating 70 handicap where the three-year-old’s do battle.
The Hawkes-trained Bugatty hasn’t won since January this year, but the three-year-old colt has put in some solid finishes in big races since. The Dreamscape colt won a maiden at Flemington by one length before running second behind Nayeli in the Group Two Chairman’s Stakes at Caulfield. He then stepped right up to Group One level for the Lightning Stakes in which Snitzerland won before running two fair races since. He has the obvious class edge and experience over this field and Taylor Marshall’s 3kg claim helps with the big weight. He will likely race forward from the inside barrier and be tough to beat.
The Joseph Pride-trained Kuro was a last start winner on this course when beating race rival Directive by a nose. The Denman colt finished 3.9 lengths behind Hallowed Crown in his previous start, coming in the Group Three Kindergarten and he managed only sixth in the Group Two Pago Pago in his start prior. The three-year-old did win nicely on debut when beating Ming by 1.5 lengths and the drop back in distance looks ideal. The advantage he has is that his last three runs have all been on heavy tracks – with rain expected and a slow 7 surface. He won his only start on this track and Hugh Bowman sticks with him. Chance in small field.
Expect the Chris Waller-trained Lucy’s Look to be much more competitive here than she was on debut. The Lonhro filly finished seventh, 9.3 lengths behind the unbeaten Winx, who won a big race in Sydney last Saturday. The three-year-old was well backed in the betting at $4.60 but never let down in the straight, however, Waller has given her time to mature since June and she is nicely weighted at 54kg for this. Place chance at best however.
Recommended bet: Bugatty to win at Sportingbet.com.au
The Peter and Paul Snowden-trained Proactive has had one start for a second placing and he looks the testing material in this. The three-year-old by Thewayyouare finished only a neck behind the talented Delectation at Randwick on debut in an $85,000 maiden race and that form should stack up well for this. He settled well back in a field of eight and produced a nice sprint in the straight over the shorter distance of 1200 metres. The extra distance will suit as his dam is by Zabeel which means he could run anywhere up to 2400 metres based on breeding. He has drawn more handy to the rail this time around so expect a solid run.
John O’Shea lines up Gouldian who last finished third in the Listed Fernhill Stakes at Randwick. The Godolphin-owned colt by Street Cry finished a disappointing seventh in debut at Warwick Farm but he was a $41 shot that day so the run was justified. He then stayed on this track to finish fourth when running on well from the back and then he went up to the mile last time out. It looks as though the three-year-old colt needs more ground than 1600 metres but he drops back to 1400 metres for this – which won’t suit him at all. He is fresh up with James McDonald in the saddle, but look for him to be running on late.
Zoltar is on debut for Joseph Pride but he must be respected on breeding alone. The three-year-old gelding is by Zabeel and out of a New Zealand mare so he should be able to handle any track conditions and the distance should suit on his way to longer races. He has drawn well in barrier one which will help him settle on debut and prominent jockey Jason Collett takes the ride. Watch the market movement with this runner and follow accordingly.
Recommended bet: Proactive to win at Centrebet.com
The Chris Waller-trained Dynamic Rock has looked good in two race day starts where she finished third on debut before battling on well for sixth last start. The daughter of Fastnet Rock settled well back on debut over 1250 metres and she ran on stoutly to finish only 1.5 lengths behind Lady Sharapova – who has since placed in stakes company. She then settled well back over this distance last start and fought on nicely but the conditions didn’t seem to suit her, so the slow track will help. She drew barrier six in both starts to date but she gets a more favoured draw of three in this and she should be prominent.
Clarry Conners lines up a filly that will surely generate plenty of interest in the betting. The three-year-old filly by More Than Ready and Tuesday Joy is very well bred and a nice run is expected on debut. Unfortunately, her trial form has been mixed so it doesn’t give punters a very good indication of her ability but out of the nine trials she has had, her best result was a second placing on this track so that holds her in good stead. She has drawn wide in barrier nine which means she will likely settle back in the run but expect her to be finishing nicely in the straight.
Down the bottom of the page is More Than Diamonds, a well bred filly who has faced some stiff competition in her three career starts. The Peter and Paul Snowden-trained filly by More Than Ready finished fourth on debut behind Scratch Me Lucky who has since gone on to compete well in stakes races. She then finished a disappointing eighth on this track behind the well performed Bachman before running seventh last time out at Randwick. Her overall form is not impressive but she jumps up in distance and Hugh Bowman has jumped in the saddle. She has drawn nicely but watch the market for any positive leads at this stage.
Recommended bet: Dynamic Rock to win at TomWaterhouse.com
The Peter and Paul Snowden-trained Diamond Valores is unbeaten in two starts, both coming at Canterbury and he looks well placed in this to make it three. The three-year-old by Tavistock won by a neck on debut over Double Happy before beating a field of five last time out by three lengths. That win came very easily over the 1550 metres and the extra distance here will only suit. One of his wins came on a slow surface so that won’t be an issue and he looks like a solid win bet in this.
Cramming couldn’t have been more disappointing last time out at Canterbury but the drop back in distance might switch him on. The Hawkes-trained gelding finished eighth last start when he was well favoured in the betting and he never let down in the straight. His form prior was solid which included a third placing at Hawkesbury. The son of More Than Ready is twice a winner from eight starts, both coming early in his career, but he hasn’t been able to recapture that form since. This is his best chance, mid-week at Warwick Farm, so it will be best to watch the market to see if there is any interest in his win price. Keep safe.
Hollywood Bound finally broke through for a much needed win last start at Canterbury where he was an impressive 2.25-length winner. The Chris Waller-trained gelding relished the conditions for an easy win and he capped off some consistent form in fine style. The five-year-old has placed in both starts on this track and his distance record of one win and seven placings from 13 starts is imposing. The slight step up in distance won’t be an issue and he looks like a good chance to make it back-to-back wins here.
Recommended bet: Diamond Valores to win at Sportsbet.com.au
The Chris Waller-trained Scarletini will appreciate dropping back in grade from Saturday to mid-week and that’s enough to warrant a form turnaround in this. The five-year-old mare looked the goods two starts back at Rosehill where she finished second in behind Forever Crazy but she didn’t back that form up last time out when eighth. The three-time winner by Bernardini prefers a dead track where she has won and placed twice from five starts and the track is currently on the better side of slow, so that should suit. She has drawn wide in barrier 13 but she is likely to settle well back and run on stoutly.
Stablemate Pentometer has now had four runs this campaign and he is now due for an improved run. The Chris Waller-trained gelding looked well above average last campaign but he hasn’t been able to find his best form this campaign – his best finish was a fourth at Randwick but his last start was only fair. The five-year-old winner of four excels in the slow going with four starts for two wins and two placings, so the track conditions won’t be an issue. He has placed once at Warwick Farm and the 2400 metres suits him perfectly. He needs to show some form quickly otherwise he’ll have no friends in the betting this spring.
Ragtime Cowboy Joe is a game type of gelding who tried to lead all the way over 1900 metres last time out. Rising in distance to 2400 metres will actually suit his style as he will be able to run at a slower pace throughout the run. The Matthew Smith-trained gelding has won five from 19 including a one-length win at Newcastle three starts back. He hasn’t shown any form in three starts at Warwick Farm but he can win on any racing surface so the conditions won’t be an issue. James McDonald jumps back on which is a good sign and he will be at nice each way odds.
Recommended bet: Scarletini to place at Centrebet.com
The Chris Waller-trained Britaila Kate is as consistent as they come having placed in her last five starts. The Jet Spur mare put in a nice finish for third last start at Canterbury when 0.4 lengths behind Echo Gal and she continues to get close without winning. The six-year-old does most of her racing at Canterbury as she has had only one start on this track but she can run well on any surface and the wide barrier draw of 11 won’t worry her. She’s no world beater by any stretch but if consistency for the place is what you’re after, then she is the horse to back.
The John O’Shea-trained Berrichon was scratched last week and lines up in this. The Godolphin-owned daughter of New Approach ran second fresh up at Gosford behind Alias who has since won, making it three straight wins. Berrichon won her start prior at Geelong by a nose and she won her maiden race five starts back at Bendigo by two lengths. The four-year-old’s best surface is dead where she has won and placed twice so the track conditions should suit nicely and Kerrin McEvoy rides at a nice weight of 57.5kg.
Cast In Stone is an interesting runner for Bart and James Cummings. The four-year-old isn’t expected to run well in this event but she is a horse to watch over the spring. The daughter of Redoute’s Choice last run in the Group One ATC Oaks where she finished 13th and her start prior yielded a seventh in the Group Three Carbine Club behind Gypsy Diamond. The well bred mare won her maiden just five starts back at Wyong by three lengths but she has done nothing to suggest that racing in the high grades is her go. She is much better suited to mid-week level at this stage and expect her to be running on well over this shorter distance.
Recommended bet: Britaila Kate to place at Sportingbet.com.au
Bonsai is fitter now having had two starts this campaign for a last start third on this track, albeit 7.4 lengths from the winner. The Hawkes-trained gelding looked quite promising last preparation and his career record of 17 starts for two wins and eight placings reads well. The Power Of Destiny gelding has won and placed at Warwick Farm and he has placed on four occasions at this distance. James McDonald rides from the inside barrier draw and he should be tough to beat.
Sabino Speed is an underrated gelding who won back-to-back last campaign. The Turner/Poletti-trained son of Mossman has a great course record of three starts for two wins and one placing and he drops back in grade for this run. The four-year-old defeated the talented Longman by 1.25 lengths on this track five starts back and a similar run would take him very close in this. He was largely unfavoured in the betting for most of last season despite his good record and its unlikely he will be missed by punters again this season. He has won a race when fresh so expect a forward run from a nice barrier of two with Tommy Berry in the saddle.
Himation is a well performed son of Commands who was very consistent last campaign. The John O’Shea-trained gelding has won once and placed four times from nine starts and his only win came at this course. The four-year-old performs best on wet tracks so the conditions will suit and he has the ability to sprint well second up. He does like to sit near the pace so the wide draw of 11 looks testing but he should go close in this.
Recommended bet: Sabino Speed to win at Centrebet.com
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