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Moonee Valley Saturday – Best Bets, Tips and Odds

Fri, Jun 2, 1:33pm by Senior Writer

Moonee Valley hosts its first meeting in ten weeks as we officially hit the winter racing season, while in Brisbane, the Queensland Oaks highlights a Group 1 racing program which was relocated from Eagle Farm to Doomben this week.

Our Best Bet in Melbourne comes up in Race 6 No.2. Have Another Glass. This South Australian mare is very promising and has run some big races in group and listed company during the recent Adelaide carnival.

She’s around $3.50 for this Benchmark race on Saturday and I can guarantee you that if she was trained by Darren Weir or David Hayes rather than Sue Jaensch, she’d be just about odds on.

Two starts ago, she was just beaten by Amelie’s Star, who has since come out and run a very good fourth in the Doomben Cup. She then stepped up to the 2000m and was beaten less than a length in a Listed race. She drops massively in class here and also is back in distance, while the rise in weight if offset by a claim for the apprentice Emily Finnegan.
WATCH: Our Preview of the weekend’s racing

Finnegan has ridden this girl seven times for five wins. Happy to be on her at the $3.50 to make it six from eight.

Our Best Value comes up in Race 3 No.3 Dance with Fontein ($14).

Dance with Fontein is $14, which is terrific value for a horse who loves this track and is coming off a good win at Sandown.

In terms of the Queensland Oaks, I think it’s a battle between Kenenda and Egg Tart. Given Egg Tart got the bob the last time they met, then I’m happy to take her, but wouldn’t be surprised if Kenedna got her revenge here.

Here’s our race by race preview for Moonee Valley on Saturday.

Race 1 Dominant Cleaning Solutions Hcp – 1200m

Tips (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 1. Wired ($3.90)

2nd: 3. Wanted Diva ($4.60)

3rd: 9. Behave ($5.50)

4th: 11. True Pride ($26)

Summary: Good little race to kick things off here. Wired‘s past two runs when beaten in the country have been very good. Was good from the back at Warrnambool and then fought hard in a great contest at Wodonga. Can get a deserved win here. Wanted Diva was a good winner last time in a lesser race and will improve of that run. Behave should improve here on her return to the track and the market has her well supported in what is traditional a money stable. True Pride is good value having taken substantial improvement from her first to second run. She gets an inside barrier which should be an advantage.

Race 2 Dominant Clean Handicap -1200m

Tips (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 5. Grey Street ($3.70)

2nd: 1. Whistle Baby ($4.60)

3rd: 10. Valrouz ($26)

4th: 11. Sallanches ($41)

Summary: A few in-form sprinting mares contest this one. Happy to forgive Grey Street for being run down at Caulfield last time. This looks a more suitable race for her and she’s drawn to sit off what should be a good pace and be in the fight late. Whistle Baby hasn’t has had a lot of luck of late and has won at this track before. This also looks a better race for here, and she’s the obvious main threat. Have thrown a couple of on pace roughies in for third and fourth. Valrouz was tough at Pakenham in winning and has won twice at this track before by leading and kicking. Sallanches won over this track and distance in December by adopting similar tactics.

Race 3 Caffetto Hcp – 1000m

Tips (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 3. Dance with Fontein ($14)

2nd: 2. Core Breach ($8)

3rd: 7. Miss Vista ($3.80)

4th: 4. Big Reel ($26)

Summary: Some very fast horses here and they are sure to fly early, making it hard for the favourite Miss Vista to get across to lead. Think Dance With Fontein is very nice odds here. Loves this track and comes off a good win at Sandown, could get the trail behind Miss Vista in the run. Core Breach won well first up and won over this track and distance by a big space in December, Has obvious talent. Miss Vista, as mentioned, may get a tough run, but has a heap of speed and can’t be discounted. Big Reel will lead these and can give them something to chase having won here before.

Race 4 Adapt Australia Hcp – 1600m

Tips (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 4. The Passage ($3.90)

2nd: 1. Vienna Miss ($8)

3rd: 3. Greviste ($5.50)

4th: 7. Altantic Express ($6)

Summary: The Passage didn’t have a lot of luck last time and got home well once clear. Based on his win at Warrnambool two back, he is the one to beat here. Vienna Miss won a Listed race last start at monster odds and that’s pretty good form for this. Should get a good run from barrier 1. Greviste is honest and is never beaten far in his races. Can be thereabouts again here.

Race 5 Cafetta Coffee Cleaning Hcp – 1600m

Tips (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 9. Mr Individual ($6)

2nd: 11. New Graduate ($4.60)

3rd: 2. Victory Downs ($9.50)

4th: 4. Coldstone ($4.20)

Summary: Mr Individual was poor last time out, but feel back to Moonee Valley, where he has one win and a placing from three runs, can improve, especially with a more aggressive ride. Would want to see him up on the pace. New Graduate is in outstanding form at the moment, winning two in a row by big margins before finishing second last time at Flemington. Victory Downs ran a couple of really good races in better company during the Adelaide carnival and can measure up to these. Coldstone was good last week and is building towards a win.

Race 6 William Hill Hcp – 1500m

Tips (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 2. Have Another Glass ($3.50)

2nd: 4. Lopartega ($12)

3rd: 1. Every Faith ($16)

4th: 3. Hot Ruby ($8.50)

Summary: Very handy benchmark fillies and mares race here. Have Another Glass comes over from SA with some super form and if she puts in that sort of effort will take some beating here. Lopartega was less than four lengths behind her last time and can improve with better weight conditions and with winning experience at the Valley. She looks good value as does Every Faith, who comes back off   a G1 run last time and with two MV wins under her belt earlier in her career. Nothing wrong with Hot Ruby’s form, but she is back 500m in distance off that Flemington win.

Race 7 WT Partnership Hcp – 1200m

Tips (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 4. Chase The Horizon ($5)

2nd: 6. Camdus ($5)

3rd: 11. This Kid Rocks ($7)

4th: 7. Chamois Road ($7)

Summary: Very even race this one. Chase The Horizon was terrific chasing hard to win in Adelaide last time out. Is drawn wide but should be coming hard late and may prove impossible for the rest to hold out. Camdus is building to a win off two solid runs this campaign. Is a perfect 2-2 third-up in his career. This Kid Rocks is in great form in Adelaide and has the advantage of having won here before. Chamois Road was scratched last week to be saved for this and given he has been in the money 16 times in 19 starts, is hard to ignore.

Race 8 Essendon Nissan Hcp – 2040m

Tips (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 2. Longeron ($11)

2nd: 12. Gallic Chieftain ($4.80)

3rd: 9. Hursley ($6.50)

4th: 15. Overberg ($3.40)

Summary: Another even race here, but think now that Lord Durante is scratched, I’m on Longeron after he won a very similar race this time last year. He has improved with every run this campaign. Gallic Chieftain has the class, but does tend to find trouble. A clear run would have him right in the finish. Hursley was ridden too far back last time. Ridden closer from a wide barrier, he can also figure here,

Race 9 Dominant Hcp – 1200m

Tips (Odds: Sportsbet)

1st: 2. Benz ($7)

2nd: 1. Ken’s Dream ($5.50)

3rd: 11. Katsuro ($5.50)

4th: 3. Highland Beat ($9)

Summary:  These 1200m three-year-old races have proven very competitive over the past six weeks. There’s rarely a big margin between first and tenth. For that reason, have gone for Benz here as he brings different form. He knocked off Ken’s Dream at this track last September and at $7, I’m happy to be on him. Ken’s Dream clearly has the form and the record on the track, just a bit of a query over how an apprentice will handle him from a tight inside barrier. He might get buried back in the field. Katsuro has been close up his past three and no doubt can be in the finish again here, while Highland Beat had no luck last time and is ready to peak third-up here


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