Fri, Jun 16, 12:34pm by Senior Writer
The racing season may be winding down, but here at www.australiangambling.lv, we never stop trying to find you a winner at the track.
The Brisbane carnival is just about over and we don’t have any top-line racing in Australia this weekend. But the winners pay just as much this time of year as any other, so let’s get straight into finding you a good thing or two at Moonee Valley.
My best of the day comes up in Race 5 No.1 Reldas.
Reldas comes back into this race off a good second in a Group 3 race in Adelaide last time out. He carries a lot more weight than his rivals here, but clearly that’s not too much of a concern for trainer Robert Smerdon, because rather than put an apprentice on and get a claim, he’s stuck Noel Callow on him.
Reldas’ record at this track is outstanding, with 12 starts from five wins and four seconds. Over the 1200m here, he has had four wins and I can see no reason while he won’t make it No.5. He’s $4.80 here, which is a gift of a price for a horse of his class against this opposition.
WATCH: Our Preview of the weekend’s racing
The best value comes up in Race 6. No.3 Yu Long Sheng Hui. Again, we have Noel Callow on board here, but this time on a $12 shot.
This promising three-year-old is drawn barrier one and given his racing style, and with the rail out 3m, that should prove an advantage, especially with his main rivals drawn back and wide.
Yu Long Sheng Hui has won three of five starts with his two defeats coming in listed or group company over 1400m as opposed to the 1200m here.
I had to check his price twice when I was doing the form, because I think he has least twice the price he should be given his form and that he is likely to improve significantly second-up off that first-up win at Pakenham.
Here’s my full preview of Moonee Valley on Saturday.
Race 1 Friends of Epworth Hcp – 1200m
1st: 9. Speak Softly ($4.50)
2nd: 4. Behave ($3.70)
3rd: 3. Josephine Sea ($6)
4th: 6. Zelsignoret ($6)
Summary: Interesting two-year-old race to kick off here. Speak Softly will improve significantly off her first-up run into this race and the volume of money since markets have opened have been on her. That’s a good sign. Behave was very good first-up off a spell and is another that will improve off a run. Josephine Sea was third in a very good form race last time and is drawn to get a good run in the race. Zelsignoret has been well supported off a good win at Seymour.
Race 2 Bidfood Hcp – 1000m
1st: 9. Unique Lovely ($7.50)
2nd: 1. If Not Now When ($3.40)
3rd: 3. A Sterling Dash ($19)
4th: 5. Airino ($5.50)
Summary: Good fillies race this, with plenty of speed expected. Had to be impressed by Unique Lovely’s win at Swan Hill. She showed a superb turn of foot, and is drawn to get a very similar run in this. If Not Now When hasn’t won this campaign, but has run some very good races in better races than this. Gets her chance to win here. A Sterling Dash is nice odds for a horse who will sit back and swoop off a silly speed, while Airino will get first crack at the leaders and is the best of the front runners.
Race 3 Zouki Hcp – 1000m
1st: 5. Zara Bay ($3.80)
2nd: 6. Petite’s Reward ($13)
3rd: 4. Appalachian Annie ($8)
4th: 3. Miss Vista ($4)
Summary: They will go very fast in this, with Miss Vista needing to lead from a wide barrier to be any chance. Zara Bay looks the one coming into this first-up who can benefit from that pace. Will settle 3-4 lengths off them and be coming hard late, and has a win and three placings from five first up runs. Petite’s Reward can show up here at good odds. She won over this track and distance this time last year on a soft track and is likely to sit just behind the leader should she get across. Appalachian Annie loves the Valley and was a good on pace winner at Pakenham last time out. Will throw Miss Vista in as well because she may well just keep going in front
Race 4 Kane Constructions Hcp – 1600m
1st: 2. Every Faith ($7)
2nd: 3. Have Another Glass ($6.50)
3rd: 11. Soho Ruby ($4.50)
4th: 8. Dulverton ($5)
Summary: This race shapes very nicely for Every Faith, who loves the 1600m around the Valley, was an excellent run last time and is drawn to settle closer here. Gets a couple of kilos claim for Ben Thompson. Can forgive Have Another Glass’ run last time. Was caught on the wrong part of the track and was beaten less than a length. Soho Ruby was a big winner at Sandown beating subsequent Flemington winner Pedrena. That looks good for this. Dulverton’s last run was very good and she won over this track and distance back in September last year.
Race 5 GJK Facility Services Hcp – 1200m
1st: 1. Reldas ($4.80)
2nd: 5. Whistle Baby ($5)
3rd: 2. Lord Da Vinci ($3)
4th: 8. Camdus ($7)
Summary: As mentioned earlier, Reldas is the one I really like here. Strong Valley form, coming off a good run in Adelaide and with a senior jockey to get around any traffic, there’s a lot of confidence in him here. Whistle Baby got the win she deserved last time and this will be her last start. She can go out a winner should Reldas not put his best foot forward. Lord Da Vinci has been in good form in Tassie and resumes here. He’s favourite here and won a recent trial back in Tassie. Camdus won well here last time and is another one worth considering,
Race 6 Epworth Medical Imaging Hcp – 1200m
1st: 3. Yu Long Sheng Hui ($12)
2nd: 1. Katsuro ($5.50)
2nd: 2. Revolving Door ($7.50)
3rd: 7. Mystified ($8.50)
4th: 4. Highland Beat ($4.80)
Summary: These three-year-old sprint races have been a bit of a trap of late, so happy to look for some value in Yu Long Sheng Hui, who will sit either on the pace or just off it and get a better run than his rivals. Has been $15 into $12. Revolving Door‘s form measures up well for this and he has been gelded since his latest run. Mystified didn’t have a lot of luck last time and can figure here in an even race, while Highland Beat has been very unlucky his past two.
Race 7 Silver Thomas Hanley Plate – 2040m
1st: 2. Megablast ($5.50)
2nd: 11. Hursley ($3.80)
3rd: 5. Tick Tick Bloom ($34)
3rd: 10. Black Tomahawk ($24)
4th: 8. Coldstone ($5.50)
Summary: A lot of support for the Kiwi Megablast here and little wonder when you look at his last start nine-length win back home. If he takes that form here, he should be winning. Hursley was an unlucky run here last time and has been ultra consistent this campaign. Fancy it’s a clash between those two. Wouldn’t surprise to see Black Tomahawk improve into this race, while Coldstone was a little flat last time but was very good before that.
Race 8 Travis Harrison Cup – 1600m
1st: 1. Amovatio ($11)
2nd: 8. Heart Starter ($4.50)
3rd: 2. Kenjorwood ($14)
4th: 4. Rhythm To Spare ($5.50)
Summary: This race is as close to a raffle as you’d get. Not keen to play at all here but for the sake of the exercise, will go with the horse with the different form, Amovatio. He was a good run in the Scone Cup, while last time you could forgive him on that disgraceful Eagle farm track. Heart Starter was third in the Echuca Cup last time behind Tsahitsi, who won by a street at Flemington last week, and Moss n’ Dale, who is a well backed favourite in Sydney on Saturday. That measures up well here. We’ve been waiting for the good Kenjorwood to show up this campaign and perhaps on a slightly softer track he gets his chance here off a five-week break. Rhythm To Spare has had a good campaign and you have to include him here.
Race 9 Embassy Print Solutions Hcp – 1200m
1st: 7. Septamore ($8.50)
2nd: 9. Star Stealer ($9)
3rd: 4. Leodoro ($4)
4th: 1. Floral Fever ($10)
Summary: Think there are four clear chances in the last race and any of the four can win. Have gone with Septamore on top. He is a horse who improves through his campaigns and battled on well after leading last time. Can make his own luck here, either on, or just off the pace. Star Stealer will appreciate getting to the Valley, where he won back in January, and also a bit of cut out of the ground. If you forgive his last run, the form before that is pretty strong. Leodoro has had a really good preparation and will be coming home hard late. Floral Fever, off a good win at Swan Hill, is the other one who can win this. He’s a progressive horse with a good winning strike rate and a love for softer tracks.
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