Wed, Aug 13, 9:27am by Daryl Curnow
Good fields at Bendigo today with a few scratchings however. Some nice horses in Soosa Rama and Yesterday’s Song line up so plenty of interest in this meeting.
Royal Ocean is having her third start for trainer Mick Price following a last start second placing at Geelong. The Fastnet Rock filly raced in the tough Blue Diamond Prelude on debut when seventh behind the superstar Earthquake but she will find this much easier. The three-year-old was last around the turn in her effort at Geelong before putting in a big finish over the 1200 metres. Up in distance here will suit perfectly and she looks a big chance despite her wide draw of 14.
Faith And Fury has had nine starts for six placings and he wasn’t far off them last time out. The Darren Weir-trained gelding has been consistent this campaign without winning and he gets a chance in a weak affair here. The five-year-old son of Fastnet Rock has placed at Bendigo twice and three times over this distance. Brad Rawiller continues his association with the gelding and he looks well placed to strike after four runs this campaign to get fit.
Monteux is on debut for the in-form Peter Moody and he finished fourth in a trial behind Scissor Kick, who has since won the Rosebud Stakes last Saturday. The three-year-old colt is nicely bred and there will likely be support for this runner. He has drawn a touch wide in barrier 11 but the distance will suit and Chad Schofield will look to make a winning return after sitting on the sidelines with an injury.
Recommended bet: Royal Ocean to win at Sportingbet.com.au
Quaddie: 2, 11, 12
The Ciaron Maher-trained Top Sight was a debut winner at Caulfield by 1.25 lengths before taking on strong company in two starts thereafter. The three-year-old ran fourth in the Group Three Blue Diamond Prelude for fillies, only 3.35 lengths behind Earthquake and she followed that up with another fourth in the Thoroughbred Breeders Stakes at Flemington. She ended her two-year-old campaign with a third placing at Sandown and that form stacks up well for a mid-week meeting here. She has been punished in the weights but apprentice Kayla Nisbet takes 3kg off her back, making her a good winning chance at $3.10 after opening as low as $2.70.
Clover Lane has been a big mover in the market. The Peter Moody-trained filly opened at $9 and has been bet into as low as $4.80 before settling at $5.50. The O’Reilly filly was a one length winner on this track last month but that came on a heavy track and conditions have changed for this. Regan Bayliss takes her weight back down to 56.5kg where she will be competitive and it will pay to watch the market for any more movement.
Luskin Belle was no match for them last start but her form prior included a win at Geelong. The Darren Weir-trained filly beat a maiden field by 1.25 lengths but she got too far back last start and never really made an impression. She does however get the inside barrier for this and that can make all the difference. She is another with an apprentice aboard and she shouldn’t be left out of combinations.
Recommended bet: Top Sight to win ($3.10) at Sportsbet.com.au
Quaddie: 1, 2, 3
Turfane looks like great value at $8.50 after opening at $8. The Saab Hasan-trained colt has placed at his last two starts in higher grade than this and he has no respect from the bookmakers. He drops back in distance for this which isn’t ideal considering his breeding but he has shown consistent form this campaign and he should be respected back in mid-week grade. He ran fourth in a 1000 metre race won in a slick time of 57.64 and that shows he can sprint well so don’t leave him out simply because he’s not favoured in the market.
Stratum Star has been well supported after opening at $3.60. The Darren Weir-trained colt has come into $3.40 despite his poor form line. The Stratum three-year-old finished sixth on debut at Flemington before finishing seventh in the Blue Diamond Prelude for colts behind Rubick. He ran very average in the Blue Diamond and again in the VRC Sires’. It’s obvious the connections have high hopes but he hasn’t shown any form to speak of as yet. His support in the market suggests this level is where he should stay and he will want to impress in this.
Wilderness scored a hard fought win at Geelong last time out when racing as the $1.30 favourite. The Hayes/Dabernig-trained colt was fourth in this track on debut in the VGold Rush event worth $250,000 and then he disapppointed in the Group Two Pago Pago at Rosehill. The son of Fastnet Rock was given an easy kill last start and he should have benefited from that effort. It wasn’t as easy as some would have liked but he’s a good chance to make it back-to-back wins in this at $6.50 – support hasn’t come after opening at $6.
Recommended bet: Turfane to place ($2.90) at Centrebet.com
Quaddie: 1, 5, 8
The Robbie Griffiths-trained Dancing Rose is twice a winner from eight starts and her last two efforts have been very solid in higher grades. The Sebring mare won narrowly at Cranbourne in this grade before racing in the Rivette Final at Flemington where she finished sixth but was running on nicely late in the race. She was right down in weight last start when fifth but she had no luck in the running and she looks well placed in this. She ran Dug A Pony to within two lengths this campaign when fresh and that’s good enough form to take this out.
Irion was a back-to-back winner this campaign and her last start fourth came in a higher grade than this. The Mark Kavanagh-trained mare hasn’t put a foot wrong this preparation and she has shown that she can compete at this level. There are concerns about her wide barrier draw of 11 but Glen Boss is more than capable of navigating and she looks like a good winning chance in this.
A Little Edgy has won her last two in lower grades and she now deserves a chance at stepping up in grade. The four-year-old was a 1.25 length winner at Mildura before backing that up with a win at Sandown by a nose. She is already a three time winner from only nine starts and all of those have come on a dead track which is what we race on today. This distance suits and she will run on nicely from the back of the field.
Recommended bet: Dancing Rose to win at TomWaterhouse.com
Quaddie: 3, 4, 6
Soosa Rama won her first three career starts in good fashion before racing poorly at Flemington last time out. The Colin Little-trained mare won by three lengths on debut at Cranbourne before overcoming a wide draw at Moonee Valley to win by a nose. The daughter of Bel Esprit then continued her winning form by backing up at Moonee Valley in a strong handicap race by 0.75 lengths. The four-year-old ran well in a recent trial and she looks set for another top campaign this season. Josh Cartwright takes 3kg off her back making her a good winning shot.
Tawteen was a fair fifth on debut in the Blue Diamond Prelude for fillies and she has since won very easily at Sandown. The Hayes/Dabernig-trained filly looks to have plenty of potential and despite the rise in class she looks likely to push the favourite in this. The daughter of Stratum shouldn’t mind the increase in distance from 900 metres to 1100 metres and she gets in with a nice weight of only 54.5kg. With some luck from the draw she will play a major role in the finish.
Axis Point was a two length winner on debut at Moe before running two placings in her two starts since. The four-year-old mare was third at Sale behind Hot Mama and then second last time out, albeit narrowly behind Stroemsky. She won a trial recently to prepare for this and she is well weighted with 56kg on her back. Dale Smith rides from barrier four and she looks well placed in this.
Recommended bet: Soosa Rama to win at Sportingbet.com.au
Kwanza was an impressive last start winner at Caulfield by half a length over Zadon. The Mick Price-trained gelding had finished sixth in the strong Silverbowl Final at Flemington his start prior and that form was always going to be strong for mid-week level. He finished strongly behind Refulgent twice who has since won nicely on a Saturday and this grade won’t hold him for much longer. Surprisingly he’s at $5.50 after opening at $4.80 and that’s a good value price for this talented runner.
Devonshire Duke finished strongly for third at Moonee Valley on a Saturday meeting and that’s also good form for a mid-week event. The Michael Moroney-trained gelding is a five-time winner who won a rating 82 event two starts back by 2.5 lengths and he drops right back in grade for this. Two wins have come at this distance and he looks like a good strong winner hope from barrier three and an apprentice claim too boot.
Longeron doesn’t boast a fantastic form line but he’s better than that suggests. The Hawkes-trained gelding is unbeaten in one start at this course and after two runs this campaign, he’s now in fit order for this. His best recent run came at Randwick where he finished an unlucky third after getting blocked in the straight. That came in a rating 85 field and he drops to rating 78 for this. He excels at this distance and on this surface so he must be respected. Bookmakers have him safe at $6 after opening at $6.50.
Recommended bet: Kwanza to win ($5.50) at Sportsbet.com.au
Yesterday’s Songs looks like a nice bet to end the day at $2.40. The Michael Moroney-trained gelding was a strong 5.5 length winner two starts back at Sandown and his most recent run was strong for third at Caulfield. The four-year-old looks to have plenty of scope and his best runs come on rain affected ground which he faces here. Damien Oliver takes over the riding and he won’t be staying in rating 70 grade for too long. He opened at $2.60 and has been steadily backed since – we expect his price to keep on tumbling.
Dillon Hall has been tough this campaign with two wins and his most recent was stylish at Geelong. The Darren Weir-trained gelding was too strong for a rating 64 field by 1.5 lengths and the former New Zealander has the inside barrier draw for this. He faces a tougher grade here but he’s a solid place chance with the right run and the bookmakers have kept him safe at $9.
Running Bull pushed a good horse in Baron Archer close last start at Caulfield and he will find this much easier. His start prior was an unlucky fourth after getting relegated from third and that was also won by a nice horse. The Peter Moody-trained runner has plenty of ability and he will be the main danger to the favourite from a good barrier of five. Expect the two favourites to be fighting out the finish here.
Recommended bet: Yesterday’s Songs to win ($2.40) at Sportingbet.com.au
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