Tue, Jul 8, 12:33pm by Daryl Curnow
ANOTHER impressive mid-week card on display at Canterbury with a full program of seven races. The day kicks off with a two-year-old event over 1200 metres. We provide a full race breakdown with the latest market updates, form and free tips.
The Bob Holloway-trained Keep The Dane arrives at Canterbury from a good debut win at Gosford to take on the metropolitan horses. The two-year-old gelding won by three lengths on debut but the surprising thing is that he won at odds of $51. It’s unlikely the son of Keep The Faith will be at those same odds again, especially not for this race. He ran a good time over the 1000 metres of 59.23 – anything under 60 seconds is a good time – and he should be able to be competitive in this, despite it being a touch harder.
Dream Habit might go under the radar in this, despite winning by 2.25 lengths at Cessnock last start. The Patrick Webster-trained gelding finished a close second on debut at Newcastle before taking on a hot field in the Inglis Nursery – won by Golden Slipper winner Mossfun. He ran last on that occasion which preceded another poor performance in the Inglis Challenge, but this is a big step down in class. Winona Costin takes 3kg off his back and that makes him very competitive in this.
Electrifyin’ is a well named colt by Redoute’s Choice and I got Chills. The two-year-old hasn’t had a race day start but he’s trained by the master Chris Waller and his odds will likely be short on debut. A good jockey in Brenton Avdulla takes the ride from barrier nine and he’s likely to supply a fair amount of power.
Recommended bet: Dream Habit to place at Sportsbet.com.au
Papillon Rouge continues to improve and we narrowly missed getting the chocolates at $10 odds last time out at Warwick Farm. The Peter and Paul Snowden-trained filly got sent out way over the odds and she almost delivered, but it’s time to make up in this. The daughter of Fastnet Rock is twice a winner and she was good enough to take on some of Sydney’s best three-year-old’s. She has won and placed here and from barrier one her chances look bright in this.
Nadacheva has won his last two races by very easy margins. The Alan Scorse-trained gelding is a country trained three-year-old but he must be respected based on his last two outings. He won two starts back by 4.25 lengths at Newcastle before stepping up in grade to win by 5.5 lengths at Wyong. This is yet another step up in class but this isn’t the best of fields and he looks to have good mile staying ability. The big weight shouldn’t matter as he’s carried 59kg and 58kg at his last two starts.
Saintly Lad is a well tried three-year-old for Bart and James Cummings who is coming off a last start win at Newcastle. The Shamardal gelding did most of his racing in higher grades throughout the early days of his career, including a fourth in the Listed Dulcify Stakes at Randwick. He definitely has a touch of class about him and this is certainly no stakes race but running second up is a query and the distance might be a touch short. Will pay to watch market moves.
Recommended bet: Papillon Rouge to win at Sportingbet.com.au
The ultra consistent Dragon Flyer must be put into calculations after the gelding put in another solid performance for second at Warwick Farm. The John Thompson-trained four-year-old has won twice and placed on eight occasions from 10 starts, an incredible record to date. The underrated son of Pendragon won five starts back at Mudgee by 6.75 lengths and he’s more than capable of winning in this grade. He steps up in grade for this by five rating points however he drops in weight and he won’t be far off the mark once again.
Ragtime Cowboy Joe was extremely disappointing on this track two starts back when finishing a long last but his run last start was much improved. The Matthew Smith-trained gelding settled well back at Warwick Farm before putting in a nice finish and the step back up in distance should suit ideally. He’s a winner of four races including fresh up at Kembla Grange and a good run here shouldn’t be beyond him.
Hollywood Bound is a Chris Waller-trained gelding who ran a solid second last start. The Royal Academy four-year-old is having his fourth run this campaign and he will be in fit order for this. He has won and placed on five occasions at this distance and he gets a luxury weight of 54.5kg for this. His run for sixth behind Burbero three back was much better than it indicates as he finished only 1.5 lengths from the winner and he should be competitive in a field like this.
Recommended bet: Dragon Flyer to win at IASbet.com
Deep Field was a huge winner in a weak event at Gosford on debut and he will find this tougher but he has good claims. That ten length win came with consummate ease and the bookies didn’t miss at $1.60. The Hawkes’-trained colt was given a nice introduction into racing and now he’s ready to make his metropolitan debut at Canterbury. The son of Northern Meteor looks to have plenty of ability and he drops in weight for this, which will help a lot. Don’t expect a very nice price but he should go close to winning this.
Fiftyshadesofgrey has come close numerous times this season but she just can’t seem to get across the line first. The Marc Conners-trained filly finished second at Gosford last time out and that came in a nice field. She has placed only once at this track from four starts but she has placed four times at this distance and from barrier one she will be able to find a nice position in the running. She hasn’t drawn inside barrier five for her last five races so this will be a nice change for her.
Lucand Star was only fair last start but the Gai Waterhouse-trained filly looked good when winning by 1.25 lengths on debut. The three-year-old filly by Lonhro has had encouraging trials to prepare for this and she gets in with a nice weight of only 51kg. She has drawn wide in barrier 11 but her maiden win was in a hot time of 56.81 for 1000 metres which is very quick and she must be respected on that top effort.
Recommended bet: Deep Field to win at Sportsbet.com.au
Britalia Kate was scratched last Wednesday and will line up in an easier race here. The Chris Waller-trained mare put in a top effort when rattling home for second behind Ball Of Muscle at Canterbury last start and she looks to have the class on this field. The daughter of Jet Spur is a four-win mare and she has won and placed at this distance. She has drawn wide in barrier 12 but Jason Collett should find a nice spot in the running for her and watch for a late run.
Lesley’s Choice hasn’t done much wrong in five career runs to date – winning once and placing a further three times. The three-year-old filly is trained by David Vandyke and she was last seen finishing second behind Miss Tenpins in a rating 70 field. Prior to that effort the daughter of Exceed And Excel won by two lengths at Warwick Farm in a nice maiden field when beating Papillon Rouge, but, that run was over nine months ago and she might find this assignment tough being so fresh. Follow any positive moves in the betting as that will show her chances of winning.
My Sabeel was only average last start but that came in rating 85 and she drops back ten rating points for this. The six-year-old mare was however a good winner on this track two starts back and she has a very good course record. The Kevin Moses-trained daughter of Savabeel has won three times from six starts at Canterbury with a further two placings and she usually isn’t very far off the pace. She also gets a nice 3kg claim from Koby Jennings which will help.
Recommended bet: Britaila Kate to win at Sportingbet.com.au
Knight Templar’s form has tapered off since putting back-to-back wins together earlier this year. The Marc Conners-trained gelding won by 2.75 lengths at Wyong before winning on this track by 1.75 lengths over the very talented Queenstown. However, the three-year-old has finished last two starts back and eighth last start at Wyong. It might pay to forgive those runs as she carried big weights, whereas she gets 3kg off her back for this. She has won and placed on this track and at her best she would be hard to beat.
Queenian was a nice one-length winner last start at Gosford and there is no reason as to why he can’t continue with his good form in this. The Matthew Smith-trained gelding has placed twice on this track from only two starts and he beat a nice horse last time out. Taylor Marshall takes 3kg off his back, taking his weight to 57.5kg and he wouldn’t have to improve much to figure here.
Coolring drops in class from rating 74 where he finished fifth at Rosehill last start. The Bjorn Baker-trained gelding has won once and placed a further three times from seven starts and he won on this track four starts back when beating Pera Pera. The Sebring gelding is running over his preferred distance where he has won and placed and he looks suited to this grade. Drawn well with a good weight so he should feature in this.
Recommended bet: Knight Templar to place at Sportsbet.com.au
Loophole was a good winner two starts back at Newcastle and he ran home strongly over this distance last start. The Chris Waller-trained gelding has a good course and distance record and he’s dropping in weight for this start. The two-win son of Lonhro gets the services of Jason Collett and if he can find a nice position in the run from barrier nine then he should be competitive.
Royal Adventure has had her last three runs on this course which have featured two placings and a fourth. The three-year-old filly was a winner four starts back prior to running at Canterbury and she has always had plenty of upside. The Rod Craig-trained daughter of Duke Of Marmalade has done the majority of her racing on a good track and if she gets conditions to suit she will be tough to beat at nice odds. She faced a similar field last start but she does rise in distance here, but that should suit according to her breeding.
Letchworth is a ten-win gelding who defeated Loophole by two lengths last start. The now seven-year-old didn’t have much going for him prior to that win but he has won twice on this course with a further six placings from 16 starts. Marc Conners as a nice team engaged here and this could give him a good ending to the day. A heavy track would be ideal however and conditions might not suit, but conversely he has won three times on a good track. Should be a nice odds and gets a 3kg weight relief.
Recommended bet: Loophole to win at Centrebet.com
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