Tue, Dec 6, 9:52am by William Brown
Last Updated Tue, Oct 8, 12:56am
Each of our suggested websites offer live streaming of certain sports to their customers, and approximately 200 individual markets for any one NRL match, so you should never be short on punting options.
The following table displays the starting prices for each NRL side to win the premiership, from each of AG’s top four bookies. It also displays the odds for the minor premiership, top-four and top-eight finishes, and the winner of the wooden spoon.
Throughout the season, odds will bounce around and fluctuate, and it is anyone’s guess whose prices will rise and whose prices will fall, but generally speaking, the earlier you get on a team, the more likely you are to attain better odds. Again, having accounts with all our sites will help you decide which prices are best; the differences in some might be small, but they certainly pay dividends overtime, and why punt on something with lower odds when someone else is offering slightly superior prices? It just doesn’t make sense.
Like AFL, the NRL betting scene is an opportunity for bookmakers to exploit a number of diverse wagering markets, because punters like variety and the ability to bet on anything possible; and AFL and NRL are the top two sports Aussie punters bet on most.
Below is an explanation of some of the most popular types of NRL wagers:
Head-to-head (H2H) betting is the most basic and one of the most popular forms of punting. It is a simple gamble on who you think will be victorious in a certain match, and as a general rule of thumb, will include extra-time and golden-point results. For example, one particular bookie may price the Canberra Raiders v New Zealand Warriors match at the following odds:
Raiders @ $1.65 to win
Warriors @ $2.30 to win
Bookmakers set such prices based on their own opinions of who they believe will win, and also who they think the majority of the public thinks will come out victorious. Factors they consider before setting their odds include form, historical trends, form against the current opposition, ground results, weather, and more.
Here we select the full time (or quarter time, half time or 3QT) margin of the leading team. Let’s take the Canberra v New Zealand match as an example, again:
Raiders: 1-12 points @ $1.95
Raiders: 13+ @ $2.33
Warriors: 1-12 @ $2.50
Warriors: 13+ @ $8.82
These brackets provide the most popular margin betting in NRL, but this wagering approach is far from limited to these parameters. Bookmakers also provide alternative brackets such as ten-point confines (1-9 points, 10-19 points), as well as two-point margin spreads and the exact margin, something which is significantly more difficult to predict, and as a result, has extremely long odds in excess of $30.00
Bookmakers will often handicap teams in order to make the match a more even contest, much like the way a handicapper will allocate different weights to even up a horse race. The idea of this market is so punters have the opportunity to back either team in the game at what are generally equal odds for both sides, with one team holding the benefit of a head start, and the other holding a handicapped start. This form of punting is also referred to as spread betting; when a handicapped team manages to overcome such a handicap, it has thus said to have covered the spread. Here is an example of a game between the Panthers and Eels:
Panthers: -6.5 @ $1.92
Eels: +6.5 @ $1.92
Here, the Panthers, considered the favourite by the bookie, have been installed as a 6.5-point better team and thus given a handicap as such, while the Eels have been given the opposite; a 6.5-point head-start. So, if the Panthers win by more than 6.5 points, then bets placed on them at $1.92 will pay dividends. However, if the Eels manage to get within 6.5 points (and this includes winning the match), then wagers placed on them at $1.92 will be successful.
Consider the following full time score-line: Panthers 18 defeated the Eels 16. Add on the Eels handicap of 6.5 to their total score, and it becomes greater than that of the Panthers. Conversely, if you subtract 6.5 from the Panther’s score, they would have a lesser total then the Eels. You only need to do one or the other, not both. So according to the line market, it is the Eels who have won.
Betting companies will also usually offer an additional market of the same nature, but of greater value to punters, with a slightly higher risk involved. Such as market could be as follows:
Panthers: -11.5 @ $2.10
Eels: +1.5 @ $2.10
In the original line, where both teams were given even $1.92 odds, all possible outcomes were covered by those two options (including the draw, covered by the Eels at +6.5 – a tie would suggest Parramatta got within 6.5 points). However, in this new line market, we can see not all outcomes are covered; a final Penrith winning margin lying between two and 11 points, to be exact. And this is why the bookie can offer odds of over $2.00 for both teams.
Based on the full time score as per above, neither of these bets would have paid off, because the Eels failed to get within 1.5 points, and the Panthers did not win by more than 11.5 points.
Picking your own line, another option within this domain, can thus be a good way to go, where you select the handicap or head-start for whichever team you wish, with set odds already in place.
Predict if the total match points will be over or under the score designated by the bookmaker. For instance, the bookie might set a combined score of 38.5 points, with an Over and Under option, both which are usually evenly priced at $1.92. If the total aggregate of points is greater than 38.5, the Over selection wins, and vice versa.
A very popular and good value wager offering three choices to this effect:
Team A over 6.5 points @ $1.84
Either Team under 6.5 points @ $3.05
Team B over 6.5 points @ $5.10
Our sports betting sites offer a variety of NRL doubles; bets which includes two legs or variables, both of which are required to be successful for the wager to pay out. One of the more popular NRL doubles is the half time/full time wager, where one attempts to select the leading team at the half time and full time intervals, respectively. A draw at the end of either half is also an option, and thus the punter has a range of possibilities to choose from.
Half time/full time margin doubles are also popular. Such bets are set with margin restrictions at each interval in combination with the leading team. For example, you could select Team A to be leading at HT by 1-12 points, and then Team B to be leading at full time by 1-12 points. These types of doubles will offer quite attractive returns.
Exotic doubles such as picking the first try scorer and the winning margin together will often own odds in excess of $30.
Futures markets allow us to punt on events which will have outcomes at the season’s end, such as the 2016 NRL premiership, who will make the top-four, the Grand Final quinella (the two sides who will face off in the decider), or the minor premiers. Player-specific future bets include picking the winner of the Dally M Medal, the top try scorer and the leading points scorer, and the Clive Churchill Medal winner.
A similar concept to doubles, but here you can combine multiple selections which do not impact upon each other, such as four head-to-head bets from four different matches. With each individual selection (termed a leg) added to the multi-bet, the odds for that bet are multiplied with the odds which preceded that choice. For instance: the Broncos are playing the Sharks, the Cowboys are up against the Tigers, and the Titans are playing the Knights. You could choose to multi Cameron Smith to score the first try in the Broncos-Sharks match ($7.00), with a Tigers win ($2.20) and a Titans win ($2.15), for odds of $33.11.
As stated, AG recommends opening accounts with each of the listed bookies. This allows punters to compare odds and get the best prices.