NRL Round 18 Betting: Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs Vs Melbourne Storm Saturday 9th of July 2011
To wrap up Saturday nights Rugby League action we are heading to ANZ stadium… hang on, no we’re not, it’s down in Adelaide! What a pointless exercise this is. Earlier on this would have been looked forward to as a good clash between 2 Titans of 2011, but the Doggies have been one of the teams that have failed to have any impact this year and are just going about their day to day business. The Storm find themselves at the top of the ladder after getting the points for the Bye last week… not to mention the 5 in a row that have won before that.
Comparing the Bulldogs to the Storm is like comparing a scooter to a motor bike, they both have 2 wheels and an engine but one of them travels a hell of a lot quicker than the other. The Doggies are of course the scooter in this equation, and they would want to add some good mods if they want it to be worthy of riding on the motorway.
This is the second year in a row that the Doggies are moving the match to Adelaide to spark some interest in the code down there, and with the Adelaide Crows and Port Adelaide doing so poorly in the AFL I wouldn’t be surprised if a decent crowd turns up to support the Doggies to spite the Melbourne team. Last year the Dogs won 20-18, that was when the Storm couldn’t get an away win to save themselves as they had no reason to play in 2010. They had a match earlier on, with the Storm dominating 30-16.
For some reason the Bulldogs have been struggling to score points over the last 4 weeks, scoring a total of 36 and averaging 9. With an average of 9 you would want to have some bloody good defence if you plan on winning. Sadly they do not; they have let in a total of 90 points over that same amount of games, averaging 22.5 against. That is wooden spoon worthy.
The only way the Bulldogs can win is through Barba and Idris. These two are in the top 5 tackle breakers so far this year, and if they come into this with confidence they could wreak havoc against the Storm. Last week Barba was as bad as Chernobyl, he single handedly emptied Centrebet stadium of any Bulldogs supporters with the worst performance of his career. He will need to start well to have any chance of upsetting the Storm.
So the Storm will have a few Origin players backing up and they won’t have as much in the tank compared to being fresh. This means little when you consider the following; Slater seems to be the fittest player in the competition, so no matter how knackered he might be feeling, he will still turn up and play well for the entire match. Cronk is not a starter for the QLD team and had limited playing time, didn’t get belted around at all, so Origin was almost a warm up for this one. Smith, well he is the only one to worry about, but Ryan Hinchcliffe has proved himself a handy replacement for Smith, so if he is a little tired there will be little lost in playing ability with Hinchcliffe moving to Hooker. So what’s the big fuss? Hopefully they didn’t drink too much.
The Storm are alone on top of the ladder and are so good in defence, letting in just 30 points over the last 5 weeks, that’s a 6 PPG average. Not once in this period has the other team made it to double digits. Now remember, the Bulldogs are averaging 9 for, and the Storm 6 against, so the Dogs will score about 7.5, not enough to steal the win.
The Storm are an absolute sure thing in this one. With defence like theirs against attack like the Bulldogs how could they possibly not win? Hard to tell by how much, or how many points will be scored in total, but the odds are good enough to bet on the win.
The Storm is paying $1.47 which is helped by the fact that the big 3 are backing up from Origin. I’d rather have 3 Origin players backing up than your only Origin rep not playing (Ennis), so the Storm are good for 7 or more which brings it up to $1.93.