NRL Round 19 Betting: Penrith Panthers Vs Parramatta Eels – Saturday 16th of July 2011
The local western Sydney derby is on again with the Parramatta Eels travelling to the foot of the mountains to face the Penrith Panthers in what is sure to be an exciting match. The Panthers are looking to bounce back after a less than enthusiastic performance against the Roosters last Sunday, a match they eventually lost by 8. The Eels were the complete opposite to the Panthers; they were clinical in attack and defence and held the Tigers to just 6 points, winning by a margin of 16.
Hayne played well at 5/8 last week and Burt was even better at fullback. Kearney is playing this one close to the chest, as he has named Hayne at Fullback but there is no knowing whether this will be the position that he plays in.
The Panthers have not been able to maintain a winning record over the Eels over the course of history. All up the Panthers have won just 30 compared to 51; even at home they are losing with a tally of 18 against 21. However they have been able to level it up recently with 5 of the last 10 going to each team.
It was an amusing match to watch as both teams had moments of brilliance and moments of the complete opposite. The Panthers had t he game in the bag after 90 seconds, scoring off their first play of the match. They were then invited back down to the Roosters red zone as they were granted a couple of soft penalties. The Panthers did not accept the Roosters generous offer and decided to go down without a fight. It was quite embarrassing.
The Panthers are looking forward to the return of Michael Jennings this week. Jennings has been out for a long time, and with the performance he pulled off in Origin 1 they will be rubbing their hands with delight. It will be interesting to see if he has fully recovered, and if he has it could be a landslide out there tonight.
The Eels did manage to get the 13+ win over the Tigers, but if a few line breaks by the Tigers were finished off it could have been the other way around. There are a couple of aspects of the Eels game in 2011 that has let them down and therefore resulted in a bad season so far.
The First of these is their inability to win back to back matches. They have managed just 5 wins in 2011, and all of these have been solo efforts. That’s right; they have not had back to back wins once in 2011. So if they can do it this weekend then they could still mathematically make the finals and be in with a shot. That’s not going to happen through, however they could still win back to back a few times and hope for the best in 2012.
The second aspect of their game that’s lacking is the very few amount of offloads they seem to be doing. They are in fact the worst off loading team in the comp, with just 132. Compare this to the Panthers; they have the most on 228. Take 132 from 228 and you have 98 extra tackles they have forced out of opposition teams, and generally offloads are a good predecessor to a line break or some of that much needed field position.
The Panthers have been good with Georgallis and even better with Gould. With All 3 Origin reps playing tonight I can’t see anything but a good bounce back happening against a team that has no back to back at all. The Panthers will win this one, only by 1-12.
The Panthers are paying very well for a team that is a good 90% chance of winning, sitting at $1.72. This is a much safer bet than the Tigers who are at $1.69, so my advice is to bet on this one and watch the other.