Thu, Jul 18, 10:26am by Rob Sheeley
Match: Sydney Roosters vs Cronulla Sharks – NRL Round 19
When/Where: 7:30pm, Saturday 20th July at Allianz Stadium
AUD $100 Free Bet: www.IASbet.com
The high flying Roosters will start a resounding favourite this weekend when they play host to the Sharks in the match of the round. The Sharks have found form of late and are making a solid charge towards the top four. They face a litmus test in this game to see if they are more contenders or pretenders.
This could well be a heavily physical and bruising encounter with two of the competitions most punishing forward packs going toe to toe. The team who can gain the ascendency in that battle should go a long way towards winning.
The Roosters have been a punters friend for the bulk of the year and have really only lost the one game when they were heavily supported to win (against the Warriors). The Sharks may not have been consistent but have claimed some big scalps this season, including the Storm.
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The Roosters have named a very strong line up, including the majority of their State of Origin stars. One notable omission is Nate Myles who will play for Queensland. It would still be fair to assume that, if Myles is fit, he could well take his place in the team. The Roosters have named a five man bench with one to drop out before kick off.
1. Anthony Minichiello (c)
2. Daniel Tupou
3. Michael Jennings
4. Shaun Kenny-Dowall
5. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck
6. James Maloney
7. Mitchell Pearce
8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves
9. Jake Friend
10. Luke O’Donnell
11. Boyd Cordner
12. Sonny Bill Williams
13. Frank-Paul Nuuausala
14. Daniel Mortimer
15. Mitchell Aubusson
16. Aidan Guerra
17. Sam Moa
18. Isaac Liu
The Roosters should be absolutely ready and rearing to go for this match after enjoying a week off with the bye last round. They may have as many as five players backing up from Wednesday nights State of Origin match, which may counter the let up a little, but it should still work in their favour as opposed to the Sharks who played a tight match last week. Punters have shown that they are willing to back the Roosters this week with their head to head price shortening from $1.35 to $1.28 in the last twenty four hours.
The Roosters last match in Round 17 was a resounding 36-0 shellacking of the Dragons, it was the Roosters third win in a row. The Roosters are looking slick and executing with deft precision, the scary thing for opposition teams is that they look to have even more improvement in them. I’m expecting a bold showing from the Roosters in this match and it may just show how much of a serious title contender they are.
The Sharks have named their State of Origin stars in the starting line up, punters should keep an eye on injuries from Wednesday night to ensure they are all playing come game time.
The Sharks are also missing their regular half back Jeff Robson, his place will be taken by Chad Townsend who will also be backing up after representing the New South Wales Cup representative team in the curtain raiser to State of Origin. The Sharks have also named an extended bench which will be trimmed to four prior to the game.
1. Michael Gordon
2. Sosaia Feki
3. Stewart Mills
4. Jonathan Wright
5. Nathan Stapleton
6. Todd Carney
7. Chad Townsend
8. Andrew Fifita
9. John Morris
10. Bryce Gibbs
11. Jayson Bukuya
12. Luke Lewis
13. Chris Heighington
14. Isaac De Gois
15. Tyrone Peachey
16. Sam Tagataese
17. Ben Ross
18. Ben Pomeroy
19. Mark Taufua
The Sharks showed great tenacity to cling on for a one point victory despite being without the majority of their star studded forward pack last week against the Broncos. That would have been a great boost for the self belief of some of the fringe players in the squad, which helps if and when they are called upon again.
The Sharks have won three of their last four and step up in class here. There is no doubting that they have one of the best forward packs in the competition, and if they fire in this match, the Sharks should be right in it. The money may be leaning heavily towards the Roosters, but the Sharks will fancy their chances of proving the punters wrong.
The Roosters forward pack is simply awesome and chock full of international class power and talent. If there is any team who can boast a similar quality of pedigree in their pack it is the Sharks. The clash between these two collections of rugby league behemoths will be vital in determining which back line has a solid platform from which to ply their trade. Expect some rugged defensive play which may mean a lower scoring match, which is most certainly something to consider in the relevant betting markets.
With the forward battle so engrossing it would be remiss of me not to compare the back lines; this is where the Roosters have the edge. A myriad of international and State of Origin experience right across the park looks to give them a big advantage over the Sharks who will look mainly to Todd Carney and Michael Gordon to spark their attack.
Punters should keep an eye on team changes due to State of Origin as possible withdrawals after Wednesday nights match could have a significant bearing on the contest, and more importantly the betting.
I think the advantage the Roosters have in the back line will make all the difference here. They should at the very least be competitive in the forwards if not dominant. The class edge in the backs should get them over the line reasonably comfortably.
Roosters by 12.
Roosters – $1.28 Head to Head with IASbet.com
Sharks – $3.60
I think the Roosters will be winning this game. They look too strong across the park and should find a way to get over the line regardless of any hurdles that they may be presented with. This price looks pretty good to me for a confident bet.
Roosters 1-12 – $2.88 with IASbet.com
Roosters 13+ – $2.00
Sharks 1-12 – $5.00
Sharks 13+ – $13.00
I’ve tipped the Roosters by twelve which is right on the cusp of the margins difference, but there looks to be value in that 1-12 margin. Based on the price this looks a like a bet that is more than worthwhile speculating on.
Roosters -10.5 – $1.90 with IASbet.com
Sharks +10.5 – $1.90
Given my prediction, the line is set a little too close to bet with confidence. I think the Roosters are capable of covering the line, but this would be my third preference of betting out of the H2H, margin and line betting markets.
For the first try scorer of the match I am going with the Roosters international Roger Tuivasa-Sheck. He is currently $9 with IASbet.com.
If you prefer backing a Sharks player to score first, I’d recommend Michael Gordon who is at $13.
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