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Super Rugby Odds and Betting Markets

Wed, Nov 9, 2:13am by Noah Taylor

Last Updated Mon, Oct 7, 11:53pm

Super Rugby is one of the most competitive and unique sporting competitions in the world. It features teams from Australia, New Zealand, South Africa and Argentina, with teams split across three conferences.

Super Rugby features a host of players with international rugby experience and follows the same rules as many other rugby competitions and World Rugby sanctioned events. It is a 15-a-side competition, with the best team from each of the three conferences, but the next best three teams (wildcards) progressing to the playoffs to determine a competition winner.

Odds on Super Rugby moneylines

The most basic way to bet on Super Rugby is by taking a moneyline bet. Each match features two teams, each priced differently according to their chance of winning. The lower the price, the better the perceived chance of victory.

For example, if the Crusaders were (1.25) on the moneyline they would be considered a strong favourite to win. Their opponents the Hurricanes price is (4.50), making them a considerable underdog.

Factors that can impact on the moneyline include the absence of an important player, such as the team’s captain, leading goal kicker or key defensive player. Weather conditions can impact on a team’s chances of victory, as some prefer dry weather as opposed to rainy conditions.

It is important to note that in Super Rugby, the home team is listed first. Home field advantage is very important in Super Rugby, particularly when teams are travelling to different countries and are presented with different playing conditions, with altitude a factor for matches played in South Africa.

Odds on Super Rugby handicaps

Betting on a team at the handicap in Super Rugby is similar to many other sports and is one of the most exciting ways to bet on the sport.

For example, if the Waratahs are (1.30) in the head to head betting, there is a very strong chance they will win the match. Their opponents, the Reds, are priced at (3.75) to win. The return on investment when betting on the Waratahs at (1.30) can be increased if you’re confident that they can cover the handicap, points spread or line as it is also known.

In this match, the Waratahs may give away a 10.5-point start. In order for you to win this bet, the Waratahs must beat the Reds by 11 points or more. If they win by 10 points or less, or lose, your wager is a loss.

Handicaps are available on both teams, so when the Waratahs are a 10.5-point favourite and -10.5, the Reds are a 10.5-point underdog and +10.5. These wagers are commonly priced between (1.90) and (1.93), depending on the sports book.

Some sports books offer ‘pick your own line’ options, where most single point spread interval is covered. For example, you could bet on the Waratahs -4.5, but it will pay less than (1.90). Conversely, if you’re confident of a big victory, you might take the Waratahs at -13.5, which would be priced greater than (1.90).

Odds on Super Rugby totals

Super Rugby matches involve four types of scoring: tries, conversions, penalty goals and field goals. A try is worth five points, a conversion is worth two points and penalty and field goals are each worth three points.. A bet on a totals market involves betting on the combined score of the tries, conversions, penalty goals and field goals in a match being over or under a number set by the sports book.

For example, a match between the Crusaders and the Blues has a total match points set at over/under 45.5. A wager on the total match points to be OVER 45.5 wins if the total points scored by the Crusaders and Blues combined is 46 or more. If you bet on the UNDER in this match, you are betting on the Crusaders and Blues to score 45 points or fewer.

If the Crusaders score 40 points and the Blues score 23 points, the total points are 40 + 23 = 63. If the sports book has the total match points set at over/under 45.5, then a bet on the OVER would win and a bet on the UNDER would lose.

Wagers can be placed on total match points, as well as total team points, which will vary depending on the quality of the team. Totals betting is also heavily influenced by ground conditions, the ground where a match takes place and time of day.

Odds on Super Rugby margins

The most popular margin betting in Super Rugby has five options per match.

The typical options are a win by 1-12 points for each side, a win by 13+ points for each side or a draw.

Draws are untypical Super Rugby, but unlike other sports, there are no overtime periods if a match is drawn at full time.

Margin betting typically presents higher odds for bettors, particularly if a match is expected to be close. If the Crusaders are a 3.5-point favourite, you may believe they will win the match, but the (1.58) head to head price nor the handicap appear worthwhile wagers to you.

A wager on the Crusaders to win by 1-12 points could pay (3.20) in this instance. It offers a wider range of points and is a winning bet if the Crusaders win by anywhere between 1 and 12 points. If the Crusaders lose, draw or win by 13 or more points, the wager is a loss.

Odds on Super Rugby futures

Futures wagers are long term wagers, usually based on how a team or teams perform during the duration of a season, or a defined period of time.

The most common futures wager in Super Rugby is to bet on the Grand Final winner. The Grand Final winner is the team that wins the Super Rugby Grand Final and reflects the best team in the league that season.

There are 15 teams in the AFL, with a shorter price reflecting a higher likelihood of winning the Grand Final. Due to the fact that a Super Rugby season takes place over a six-month period, a team’s odds to win the Premiership can fluctuate. It is also worth considering players selected for international duty, as some national teams force players to rest from club matches in order to prepare for international fixtures.

Odds on Super Rugby parlays

Parlays involving combining two or more bets together, resulting in a higher price and potential for greater dividends.

The more teams added to the parlay, the higher the chance of losing, but also the greater the payout could be.

For example, if you parlay the Crusaders (1.40), Waratahs (1.50) and Rebels (2.10) to all win in the head to head market, then your combined parlay value is each of those three prices multiplied, making (4.10).