Tue, May 28, 12:12am by Charlotte Lee
Last Updated Tue, Oct 8, 12:21am
Punters search for the best numbers in keno every time they play. Some gamblers have their own favourite set of lucky numbers they use each time they buy a keno ticket. Others switch their numeric combination around, hoping to find the spots which are hot or the spots which are due. Many systems exist for finding a good number combination. In this article, we want to discuss some of those methods, then give our own tips and advice for choosing a good set of spots.
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We’ve seen people advise potential player to select sequential numbers. These people note that many lottery draws have consecutive arrangements, such as the number 23 and 24 coming back to back. One of the big Australian lotto games in the past week had the numbers 25 and 26 back-to-back. The analysts suggested these happen more often than expected, so it’s a good idea to cluster spots on your card. No suggestion was offered for which spots would be best.
Another option is to find the numbers which have been hitting a lot lately and ride this wave of good luck to victory. If you’ve seen “33” appear in several recent draws, then it’s best to select this spot on the card. To this way of thinking, lucky keno numbers exist and you only have to find the pattern to exploit this good fortune.
These people start looking through the last 10 or 20 or even 100 keno draws to find which number between 1 and 80 is occurring most frequently. Keno draws happen every 3 minutes or so every single day in Australia. That information is posted online within short order. Aussies thus have access to a huge amount of data on the subject. All one has to do is get a spreadsheet, record the data, and crunch the numbers.
The opposite of finding “hot” spots is to find those which are due. In this line of thinking, punters find spots which have been cold for a while. The law of averages says these numerals should be due for a hit sometime soon. In this system, you take the information above and extrapolate those which haven’t hit in a while.
This is similar to the electronic board found at many roulette tables, which shows the last 10 to 20 spins. People see that red or black hasn’t hit in 10 spins (or the same with even and odd) and they decide to bet the opposite, knowing fortune is bound to flip soon. These roulette gamblers sometimes wager a lot of money in hopes the law of averages evens out.
The problem with all of the systems above is the fact they aren’t based on logic. In a game with true randomization, nothing such as hot or cold numbers exist. No option between 1 and 80 is any more likely to turn up in the draw than any other option.
Each time a draw happens, all the numbers have the exact same chance of being drawn. The idea you can look through the recent draws and extrapolate a winning strategy is simply finding patterns in chaos. The randomization process is entirely chaotic, a set of random events which have no bearing on one another.
Several of the strategies above are based on a gambler’s fallacy that the “law of averages” somehow rules in lottery style games. It doesn’t. No such law governs gambling. Just because 65 came up last draw, that doesn’t mean it’s any more or less likely to appear in the next draw.
This might defy common sense, but what we call common sense often leads people into all sorts of folly. If you had a billion or a trillion draws, probability suggests that the 80 numbers are going to come up in roughly the same amounts, across the board. The numbers do even out in the long run. It’s the definition of “long run” which humans get wrong. We think of 100 draws as a lot, but it’s a tiny statistical sample. Wild deviations can exist in such a small sampling and you could still arrive at a rough equilibrium over a billion draws.
Name any number of keno results you’ve experienced: one thousand, ten thousand, or even twenty thousand draws. Collect the statistics and calculate the numbers on all those results and it’s still a small, inconsequential sample when we’re talking about the huge numbers needed for probabilistic theory to play out. It’s bigger than all the keno draws which have ever taken place.
Random number generators are used to randomize which numbers are drawn. In the old days with mechanical draws, the results might have favoured one possibility or another. Balls might be misshapen, cracked, or a bit heavier than others, which might have made them more or less likely to be chosen.
That’s no longer the case. RNGs come up with numbers at an electronic rate. These numbers are truly random, with little chance of a mistake. Even if a glitch appeared, it’s not a good bet to assume that’s going to happen.
When we give advice for most lottery games, we suggest players should avoid common numbers, such as birth dates, holidays, and favourite jersey numbers from sports. The idea is many people are likely to pick these same numbers. If you win, you’re more likely to have to share your jackpot with other people with your birthday or who share your love of sports.
Even this strategy advice doesn’t matter in a keno lottery, because the game uses a payout schedule. It doesn’t matter if every other person playing chose the same numbers; you would be paid the same. In the end, the best numbers in keno are likely to be some random combination which have no bearing on previous draws or your personal aura.
Keno draws are a random event, so don’t worry too much about lucky keno numbers. Instead, put enough of a wager to make the game interested to you, don’t bet too much, and hope you get lucky.