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Tony Abbott, Peter Dutton shorten as knives sharpen for Turnbull

Tue, Feb 28, 4:02pm by Senior Writer

A chaotic start to the political year plus another disastrous Newspoll result has seen the odds of Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull leading the Liberal Party at the next election drift out to $2.50.

The latest Newspoll result has seen the Coalition’s primary vote slump to just 34 per cent, with the two-party preferred split now 55-45 in Labour’s favour, the lowest figure since Turnbull took charge from Tony Abbott in September 2015.

Voter satisfaction with PM Turnbull’s performance has slumped from 33 to 29 per cent with the parliamentary year only a month old.

Turnbull has put the blame for the result on the disruptive influence of Abbott, who questioned the future direction of the Liberal Party last week.

Earlier this month, former Liberal Party senator Cory Bernardi exited the Coalition to form his own Australian Conservatives party, while there are suggestions that LNP MP George Christensen could consider joining Pauline Hanson’s One Nation Party after he resigned as the Nationals parliamentary whip this week.

Such upheaval has the bookies convinced that Turnbull won’t be around for the next election.

He is rated a $1.50 chance of not being Liberal leader at the next election, with Abbott moving from $7.50 to $6 to be the man who fronts the electorate at the next federal poll.

Peter Dutton, the current Immigration Minister, is being tipped to take the leadership from Turnbull as well, and he is now clear second pick at $3.50, with deputy pleader Julie Bishop at $6.

“Tony Abbott remains the best backed candidate to be in charge of the Liberal Party when we next go to the polls but Peter Dutton is Malcolm Turnbull’s biggest challenger according to the market,” said’s Christian Jantzen.

Labor is $1.60 to win the next election, with the Coalition out to $2.25 for another term in office.

The party which has gathered most momentum so far in 2017 is One Nation, which polls said is around 10 per cent nationally and 30 per cent in Queensland.

Sportsbet is offering $21 for One Nation to win government at the next election

Markets courtesy of Sportsbet

Liberal Leader at Federal Election

$2.50   Malcolm Turnbull      (out from $2.00)

$3.50   Peter Dutton               (in from $4.00)

$6.00   Julie Bishop

$6.00   Tony Abbott                (in from $7.50)

$7.50   Scott Morrison

$16      Greg Hunt

$16      Josh Frydenberg

$16      Kevin Andrews

$21      Christian Porter

$21      Mike Baird

$26      Kelly O’Dwyer

Malcolm Turnbull to be leader at Next Election

$2.50   Yes       (out from $2.25)

$1.50   No       (in from $1.60)

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