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Newcastle Knights Vs St George Dragons Betting Preview – Sunday 3rd Of April 2011

Thu, Mar 31, 8:59am by Kevin Pitstock

The Knights predictably got taken over on the ladder after Round 3 by losing to the Eagles in an away fixture at Brookvale Oval. This weekend they will have the pleasure of playing in front of a home crowd, unfortunately it is against the resurgent Dragons.

Now I know they have only lost 1 match so its hard to say they are “resurgent”, but what I mean is that they played against the Warriors as they played against everyone last year, grinding attack and defence, put you to sleep type football. This type of football is good for a Dragon’s supporter point of view, unfortunately for the rest of the world it is unbelievably boring and repetitive.

The Knights short stint at the top of the ladder is sure to to be their last for the rest of the season as injuries mount and the oppositions readies their men for a possible surpise packet of the year. At Ausgrid stadium (Previously known as Energy Australia) the Knights have won just 2 of their 12 clashes against the Dragons. This is the most one sided away record against a team that I have seen in a long time, you could almost call this a home game for the Dragons.  The last time the Knights recorded a win against the Dragons at this venue was 2003 when they got up 32-30. Knights have won 3 of the last 10 though, so it is possible for them to win against their opposition.

Casualties

Knights

Cameron Ciraldo

Neville Costigan

Isaac De Gois

Beau Henry

Ben Rogers

Dragons

Cameron King

Michael Weyman

Dean Young (A chance)

Knights Preview

I spoke last week in a bit of depth about the fact that the Knights were only on top of the ladder due to very poor opposition and that punters should not be too impressed until further upsets. They were convincingly man handled by the Eagles last Sunday at Brookvale in front of an Eagles home crowd. This week they are at home for the first time this year, but this is not exactly the first home game that a team would like to host as they are up against the power house Dragons. They will have Gidley playing this week and it will be good to see where they are at with him, and they did do alright to only lose by 14. The BBF could cause a major upset in this one.

Dragons Preview

The Dragons are sitting at 2/3 and this is their 4th of 5 away matches in a row to start off the season.  Surely all this travelling has to take its toll, but will it be in week 4 or week 5 that this will come to pass? They did lose against the Sharks, but this was no fault of theirs, they were simply outplayed. The Knights look like easy targets this week with a less than pretty injury list.

The Dragons completed 76% of sets and had a week high 1518m attacking, this is a huge amount of metres, and to only score 25 points  backs the fact that the Dragons are in it to win it comfortably and not play razzle dazzle football. With such a good record at Ausgrid stadium it is hard to tip against the Dragons in this one. It is always safe to tip teams that you think will end up with a winning percentage of 65% plus, and this year the Dragons are one of those teams.

Prediction

The Dragons are almost certainties in this match, they have a ridiculously impressive winning record at this stadium and I can’t se anything but red and white triumph this weekend. I doubted them last week a little bit prematurely, but with the injuries the Knights are carrying it will be nothing less than a 13+ victory to the Dragons.

Best Bets

The Dragons have very decent odds H2H and once again the best odds can be found at Sportsbet Australia paying $1.53. If like me you prefer to bet on the Margin then $2.85 is the best you will see, this is also through Sportsbet Australia.


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