Sun, Jan 30, 10:12am by Kevin Pitstock
After a straight sets destruction of the one time infallible Roger Federer, Novak Djokovic looks ideally placed to add another Australian Open Mens title to his 2008 Championship trophy.
Ominously for Murray, Djokovic won the 2008 Australian Open after losing the 2007 US Open Final. A quick look back at 2010 confirms Djokovic is again coming off a loss in the US Open Final, this time to Nadal.
Murray on the other hand will be playing in his third Grand Slam final, but at his two prior attempts he has fallen at the final hurdle. Add to that the intense pressure of the Brittish media who have thrust the tennis expectations of an entire country solely upon Murray since his first grand slam quarter final appearance.
Complicating tonight’s match is the soaring temperatures that are forecast for Melbourne. It is expected that a maximum temperature will be in the low 40’s which when added with a huge crowd and tennis surface that absorbs heat; is going to place both players in an extremely uncomfortable situation, especially if the forecast cool change gets delayed.
Djokovic has a reputation for melting under hot conditions and as for Murray, well, have you ever seen a Pom that didn’t complain about Australian heat?
Djokovic was by far the more impressive with his straight sets semi final win over Federer, but Murray who has been taken to four sets in both his semi and quarter final, probably gets the nod on the score of tenacity, if the match goes to five sets.
Murray, who is playing his second Australian Open final in as many years has a losing record to Djokovic, with the pair having met seven times previously and Murray victorious on three occasions and Djokovic getting the nod on four. Complicating matters Murray has won all three of the most recent matches, all in straight sets, albeit they haven’t met head to head since 2009.
On the score of fitness Djokovic has had the extra day of rest, while Murray looked exhausted and slightly injured or at least tight in his action after his semi-final.
Iasbet Australia have Djokovic as favourite at $1.67 and Murray quoted at $2.20. Forced to pick an outright winner, we have to be on Djokovic at the $1.67.
If Djokovic is to win this game though, it will be his shot making from the baseline and angle play that produces clean winners, and in that case we see Djokovic winning in straight sets 3-0. Iasbet Australia are offering $4.50 about the Djokovic 3-0 result.
Should the match become a war of attrition and long baseline rallies, or should Djokovic meltdown in the conditions; that will play right in to the hands of Murray who we like as the winner if the match goes to five sets. At Iasbet Australia, you can get $5.50 about the Murray 3-2 set betting result.
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